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AEGIS ATLAS Intelligence Product

Israel

Country Risk Snapshot • Travel Intelligence • ASCOPE/PMESII Planner Inputs

Source Confidence

Official advisory matched

Generated: Sep 28, 2026, 11:39 AM

Official Advisory
Level 3
Reconsider Travel
AEGIS Risk Index
74/100
High
Trajectory
Rapidly Deteriorating
AEGIS assesses elevated near-term and structural risk. Treat movement and planning assumptions conservatively.
Verification
Matched
Confirm official sources before action

Executive Summary

BLUF

Israel is assessed at Level 3 with an AEGIS Risk Index of 74/100 (High). Current trajectory is Rapidly Deteriorating. Reissued Statement There were no changes to the Travel Advisory Level. The health risk indicator was added for Gaza. Advisory summary was updated to reflect that family members may travel to Israel. Reconsider Travel to Israel due to terrorism and unrest . Some areas have increased risk. Read the entire Travel Advisory. Do Not Travel to areas north of Route 85 to Route 90 (south) to Route 87 due to armed conflict. Do Not Travel within 11.3 kilometers/7 miles of the Gaza Strip due to armed conflict. Do Not Travel within 2.4 kilometers/1.5 miles of the Israel-Egypt border, except at the area of the Taba border crossing, also known as the Menachem Begin crossing, due to armed conflict . Advisory summary As of August 26, 2026, family members may join U.S. government employees who work in Israel. U.S. government employee travel restrictions U.S. government employees working in Israel are restricted from the following locations due to safety risks: Areas north of Route 85 to Route 90 (south) to Route 87; Within 11.3 kilometers/7 miles of the Gaza Strip; and Within 2.4 kilometers/1.5 miles of the Israel-Egypt border, except at the area of the Taba border crossing, also known as the Menachem Begin crossing. Any official travel of U.S. government personnel within these areas requires approval from the U.S. embassy’s security office. Additional movement restrictions may be imposed on U.S. government employees working in Israel, with little to no notice, due to increased security issues or threats. Terrorism There is risk of terrorist violence, including terrorist attacks and other activity in Israel. Visit the U.S. Department of State's country reports on terrorism to learn more. Unrest The security environment in Israel is complex and can change quickly. Violence can occur without warning. Increased regional tensions can cause airlines to cancel or limit flights into and out of Israel. Risks in specific areas Level 4 – Do Not Travel Areas north of Route 85 to Route 90 (south) to Route 87 Do Not Travel to areas north of Route 85 to Route 90 (south) to Route 87 due to armed conflict. The Israeli authorities restrict travel to areas north of Route 85 to Route 90 (south) to Route 87 due to Israeli Defense Forces presence and activity. Do not travel to this area for any reason. U.S. government employees working in Israel are not allowed to travel to areas north of Route 85 to Route 90 (south) to Route 87. Any official travel of U.S. government personnel within these areas requires approval from the U.S. embassy’s security office. Within 11.3 kilometers/7 miles of the Gaza Strip Do Not Travel within 11.3 kilometers/7 miles of the Gaza Strip due to armed conflict. Within 2.4 kilometers/1.5 miles of the Israel-Egypt border Do Not Travel within 2.4 kilometers/1.5 miles of the Israel-Egypt border, except at the area of the Taba border crossing, also known as the Menachem Begin crossing, due to armed conflict. If you decide to travel to Israel: Enroll in the Smart Traveler Enrollment Program (STEP) to get important updates and alerts from the U.S. embassy or consulate. Enrolling helps the U.S. embassy or consulate contact you or your emergency contact in an emergency. Review the Country Security Report for Israel. Review our information on Terrorism and Travel to High-Risk Areas . Maintain a high degree of situational awareness and always exercise caution, especially at checkpoints and other areas with a significant presence of security forces. Beware of and report suspicious activities, including unattended items, to local police. Avoid demonstrations and crowds. Have a plan to leave in an emergency that does not depend on U.S. government help. Review our information on Crisis and Evacuations . Follow the instructions of security and emergency response officials. Learn the location of the nearest bomb shelter or other hardened shelter. Download the  Home Front Command Red Alert application  or similar apps for mobile devices (available on devices within Israel) to receive real time alerts for rocket and missile attacks and armed UAV intrusions. U.S. government employees in Israel are encouraged to use these apps. When traveling in rural areas, exercise caution due to the possibility of unexploded ordnance. Visit the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC) website for the latest Travel Health Information for Israel . Whether you’re a first time or frequent traveler, use the International Travel Checklist . We highly recommend that you buy travel insurance before you travel. Check with your travel insurance provider about evacuation assistance, medical insurance, and trip cancelation coverage.

State Level 1–4

Official Advisory

Level 3 — Reconsider Travel

Reissued Statement There were no changes to the Travel Advisory Level. The health risk indicator was added for Gaza. Advisory summary was updated to reflect that family members may travel to Israel. Reconsider Travel to Israel due to terrorism and unrest . Some areas have increased risk. Read the entire Travel Advisory. Do Not Travel to areas north of Route 85 to Route 90 (south) to Route 87 due to armed conflict. Do Not Travel within 11.3 kilometers/7 miles of the Gaza Strip due to armed conflict. Do Not Travel within 2.4 kilometers/1.5 miles of the Israel-Egypt border, except at the area of the Taba border crossing, also known as the Menachem Begin crossing, due to armed conflict . Advisory summary As of August 26, 2026, family members may join U.S. government employees who work in Israel. U.S. government employee travel restrictions U.S. government employees working in Israel are restricted from the following locations due to safety risks: Areas north of Route 85 to Route 90 (south) to Route 87; Within 11.3 kilometers/7 miles of the Gaza Strip; and Within 2.4 kilometers/1.5 miles of the Israel-Egypt border, except at the area of the Taba border crossing, also known as the Menachem Begin crossing. Any official travel of U.S. government personnel within these areas requires approval from the U.S. embassy’s security office. Additional movement restrictions may be imposed on U.S. government employees working in Israel, with little to no notice, due to increased security issues or threats. Terrorism There is risk of terrorist violence, including terrorist attacks and other activity in Israel. Visit the U.S. Department of State's country reports on terrorism to learn more. Unrest The security environment in Israel is complex and can change quickly. Violence can occur without warning. Increased regional tensions can cause airlines to cancel or limit flights into and out of Israel. Risks in specific areas Level 4 – Do Not Travel Areas north of Route 85 to Route 90 (south) to Route 87 Do Not Travel to areas north of Route 85 to Route 90 (south) to Route 87 due to armed conflict. The Israeli authorities restrict travel to areas north of Route 85 to Route 90 (south) to Route 87 due to Israeli Defense Forces presence and activity. Do not travel to this area for any reason. U.S. government employees working in Israel are not allowed to travel to areas north of Route 85 to Route 90 (south) to Route 87. Any official travel of U.S. government personnel within these areas requires approval from the U.S. embassy’s security office. Within 11.3 kilometers/7 miles of the Gaza Strip Do Not Travel within 11.3 kilometers/7 miles of the Gaza Strip due to armed conflict. Within 2.4 kilometers/1.5 miles of the Israel-Egypt border Do Not Travel within 2.4 kilometers/1.5 miles of the Israel-Egypt border, except at the area of the Taba border crossing, also known as the Menachem Begin crossing, due to armed conflict. If you decide to travel to Israel: Enroll in the Smart Traveler Enrollment Program (STEP) to get important updates and alerts from the U.S. embassy or consulate. Enrolling helps the U.S. embassy or consulate contact you or your emergency contact in an emergency. Review the Country Security Report for Israel. Review our information on Terrorism and Travel to High-Risk Areas . Maintain a high degree of situational awareness and always exercise caution, especially at checkpoints and other areas with a significant presence of security forces. Beware of and report suspicious activities, including unattended items, to local police. Avoid demonstrations and crowds. Have a plan to leave in an emergency that does not depend on U.S. government help. Review our information on Crisis and Evacuations . Follow the instructions of security and emergency response officials. Learn the location of the nearest bomb shelter or other hardened shelter. Download the  Home Front Command Red Alert application  or similar apps for mobile devices (available on devices within Israel) to receive real time alerts for rocket and missile attacks and armed UAV intrusions. U.S. government employees in Israel are encouraged to use these apps. When traveling in rural areas, exercise caution due to the possibility of unexploded ordnance. Visit the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC) website for the latest Travel Health Information for Israel . Whether you’re a first time or frequent traveler, use the International Travel Checklist . We highly recommend that you buy travel insurance before you travel. Check with your travel insurance provider about evacuation assistance, medical insurance, and trip cancelation coverage.

Source: U.S. Department of State

Confidence / Caveats

Source Status

Official advisory matched

AEGIS uses official advisories when matched, then supplements with reference, economic, security, event, and embassy-verification layers.

This packet supports planning awareness and should be validated against official travel, embassy, clearance, and command guidance before operational use.

Reference Layer

Country Reference Snapshot

Capital

Source-limited / verify

Region

Source-limited / verify

Subregion

Source-limited / verify

Population

Source-limited / verify

Currency

Source-limited / verify

Languages

Source-limited / verify

AEGIS 0–100 Category Scores

Threat Matrix

Crime

74/100 • High

Terrorism

64/100 • Elevated

Civil Unrest

69/100 • Elevated

Health

64/100 • Elevated

Natural Hazard

35/100 • Moderate

Cyber

74/100 • High

Collection Risk

79/100 • High

Kidnapping

69/100 • Elevated

PMESII-Economic

Economic Risk

Managed Economic Pressure • score 38/100

Economic stress is treated as a driver for unrest, migration, corruption, criminal pressure, institutional capacity, and resiliency. It informs PMESII-Economic and trajectory analysis but does not replace official advisory guidance.

  • Recent GDP growth is 2.9%, giving a baseline indication of economic direction.
  • Inflation is not currently the dominant economic stress signal in the latest World Bank indicator set.
  • Unemployment is below the primary AEGIS watch threshold in the latest indicator set.
  • Government debt is elevated, which can constrain crisis response, public spending, and resiliency programs.

30 / 90 / 12 Month Planning Windows

Trajectory

30 day: High-risk watch

90 day: Sustained deterioration risk

12 month: Structural stress likely to persist

PMESII-Military / Police

Security / Governance Layer

Military Branches / Security Forces

  • Military branch data pending reference ingestion

Police / Internal Security Actors

  • National police / law enforcement: Identify national, regional, and local police forces before movement or planning decisions.
  • Internal security / intelligence services: Identify internal security services, detention authorities, and traveler-interaction risk before use.

Corruption / Rule of Law: Elevated — Elevated governance-risk planning assumption. Use official sources and local validation before relying on public services or enforcement response.

Governance Effectiveness: Elevated — Government service delivery may be uneven, delayed, or politically constrained. Validate access to police, medical, and movement support.

Operational Environment

ASCOPE / PMESII Planner Inputs

Military / Police layer is in baseline mode for Israel. AEGIS identifies required collection questions but needs verified country-specific sources for force names, chain-of-command, roles, and reliability.

  • Map police/security operating areas, checkpoints, border crossings, detention sites, and emergency command centers.
  • Identify whether police or internal security forces are credible support options, potential risk sources, or both.
  • Validate corruption and rule-of-law exposure before relying on local enforcement or administrative processes.

Country-Specific Matrix Inputs

ASCOPE / PMESII Data Injection

Data status: Baseline planner intelligence generated from available AEGIS layers • Confidence: Low

Military / Police / Security

  • armed forces / defense establishment requires source validation
  • national police / law-enforcement structure requires source validation
  • internal-security and emergency-management actors require validation

Use the matrix as a planning frame: verify who controls routes, who responds to emergencies, who can detain or restrict movement, and which actors affect access.

Governance / Rule of Law

Corruption: Corruption signal pending; treat document checks, permits, procurement, and checkpoints as potential friction points until validated.

Rule of law: Rule-of-law signal pending; validate detention, checkpoint, and emergency-support assumptions.

Institutional capacity: Institutional-capacity signal pending; validate local response, medical, telecom, transport, and administrative support.

ASCOPE Areas

  • capital/urban centers
  • border areas
  • ports/airports
  • high-crime/unrest zones
  • disaster-prone areas

ASCOPE Structures

  • embassies/consulates
  • police/security sites
  • hospitals
  • airports/ports
  • government facilities

PMESII Infrastructure

  • critical infrastructure and evacuation routes require geospatial validation

Verification Layer

Embassy / Mission Support

U.S. Embassy Jerusalem

Emergency support and mission details must be verified through official State Department channels before travel or planning decisions.

Collection Requirements

Information Gaps

  • Military branch names and roles require reference ingestion.
  • Police/security force structure and jurisdiction require validation.
  • Corruption, detention, checkpoint, and emergency response reliability require current reporting.
  • Route-level conditions, local event reporting, and authorized clearance requirements require current validation.